Using Extrapolation Techniques of Big Data to Improve the Effectiveness of Sales Forecasting – Empirical Evidence on the Egyptian Passengers Automobile Market

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

4-25-2021

Abstract

Sales forecasting is the tactical and strategic trigger for a significant number of

crucial functional and management activities. Extrapolation techniques will be used

as mathematical tools for demand forecasting, where extrapolation methods

estimates or generate values beyond the range of the original set of data. A

triangulated approach of experimental essences was applied to data analysis

composed of ARIMA, exponential smoothing and grey model GM(1,1). This research

is an endeavor to demonstrate the robustness of certain extrapolation models and

procedures with a view to word improving the effectiveness of sales forecast in

terms of relevance and accuracy. The forecasted sales for both brands is both

reserved and yet relatively optimistic. Thus, manifesting the high risk/high return

profile of the Egyptian passenger automobile market.

Share

COinS