Document Type

Article

Publication Date

Fall 9-25-2025

Abstract

The first Global Stocktake (GST) certifies that there is a widening gap between our collective ambition and the real-world deliveries. And while the COP29 did set a new climate finance floor of US$300 billion/yr by 2035, the science however showed that this is far below developing country needs, and the current trajectories still overshoot the Paris 1.5 C limit. With the most recent updates, Article 6 market rules are now in full operation. That is inclusive of a mandatory 5% "share of proceeds" for the Adaptation Fund; it is an underused lever to channel resources to the frontline communities (UNFCCC, 2025). Looking ahead to Belém, the Brazilian Presidency's framing of a "Globally Determined Contribution (GDC)", a global NDC that translates GST findings into a shared implementation mandate across six axes and 30 objectives, it offers a practical bridge from dialogue to delivery, with the "Global Mutirão" inviting bottom-up participation at scale. This report has the aim of synthesizing the latest technical and governance evidence while proposing an implementation toolkit aligned with COP30's agenda: first is an AI GapFinder to surface the policies' and finance's shortfalls across NDCs/BTRs; then Mutirao Multipliers which are community monitoring hubs feeding national inventories. These measures operationalize GST guidance into measurable progress while upholding the justice and CBDR principles.

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